CQU property expert reveals home truths on housing affordability

CQU property expert reveals home truths on housing affordability

It’s never been harder for younger Australians to enter the property market, we regularly hear.

That’s why federal, state and local governments need to do something about it, media commentators urge.

A range of potential solutions often get bandied around, some sensible, others fanciful.

So what, if anything, can governments do to put downward pressure on property prices?

This is a question that property economist Garrick Small has spent a lot of time studying.

Dr Small, who is an associate professor at Central Queensland University, says there are two essential points that need to be made up front.

First, property prices are set by the market, not by government agencies. Second, property must be affordable – at least for some Australians – because people keep buying.


Governments can increase supply and reduce demand

That said, Dr Small believes there are some policy measures that governments could implement that would put downward pressure on prices.

Garrick Small

For example, governments could release more land for residential development or change zoning laws to allow for greater population density.

The idea is that an increase in the supply of properties would lead to a fall in demand, and therefore put downward pressure on prices.

Dr Small says another thing governments could do would be to weaken the financial incentives for investors to buy property.

Governments could reduce investor income by introducing rent controls, he says. Or they could increase investor expenses by raising council rates and land taxes.

Doing some or all of these things would cause investment yields to fall, which would probably drive some investors out of the market, he says.

Real estate is a strange market

All of these potential policy measures reflect basic ideas of supply and demand.

However, real estate is a strange market, Dr Small stresses, which means that it does not fully conform to standard free market principles.

Take a typical market – for, say, beer. If the producer’s profit margins are too high, rivals will be tempted to enter the market and sell their own beer, probably for less. If the producer doesn’t respond by lowering its prices, it will maintain its margins but lose market share; if it does lower its prices, it will maintain its market share but erode its margins.

But these dynamics don’t apply in real estate, according to Dr Small, because most of the value of a property comes from the land – and land is unusual, for three reasons.

First, land can’t be manufactured. Second, its value comes not from its elements (grass, rock, mud, etc) but its location (say, inner ring versus outer suburbs). Third, it can’t be replicated – a developer can open up new land elsewhere, but it can’t build new land on someone else’s land.

“That means you don’t have the normal market dynamics that you would have in manufacturing,” he says.


Developers run businesses, not charities

That’s why Dr Small disputes a claim made by some developers – that they would be able to sell properties for less if governments lowered their mandatory contributions.

Dr Small says that while developers would pass on these savings (at least in part), it would be to the home owners they buy their land from rather than the home buyers they sell their land to.

Why would developers pay home owners more? Because if they didn’t, a rival might use their extra cash to swoop in and snap up the land.

By making that higher payment, the developers would be taking the bonus money they’d been gifted by the government and handing it on to the owner – leaving nothing left to pass on to the home buyer.

“The end user never sees the difference in price in terms of the construction costs, because if the construction costs go down, it simply means that the land owner gets a little bit more money,” Dr Small says.


Did you find this helpful? Why not share this article?



Money Health Newsletter

Subscribe for news, tips and expert opinions to help you make smarter financial decisions

By signing up, you agree to the ratecity.com.au Privacy & Cookies Policy and Terms of Use, Disclaimer & Privacy Policy


Learn more about home loans

Interest Rate

Your current home loan interest rate. To accurately calculate how much you could save, an accurate interest figure is required. If you are not certain, check your bank statement or log into your mortgage account.

How can I get ANZ home loan pre-approval?

Shopping for a new home is an exciting experience and getting a pre-approval on the loan may give you the peace of mind that you are looking at properties within your budget. 

At the time of applying for the ANZ Bank home loan pre-approval, you will be required to provide proof of employment and income, along with records of your savings and debts.

An ANZ home loan pre-approval time frame is usually up to three months. However, being pre-approved doesn’t necessarily mean you will get your home loan. Other factors could lead to your home loan application being rejected, even with a prior pre-approval. Some factors include the property evaluation not meeting the bank’s criteria or a change in your financial circumstances.

You can make an application for ANZ home loan pre-approval online or call on 1800100641 Mon-Fri 8.00 am to 8.00 pm (AEST).

Remaining loan term

The length of time it will take to pay off your current home loan, based on the currently-entered mortgage balance, monthly repayment and interest rate.

Monthly Repayment

Your current monthly home loan repayment. To accurately calculate how much you could save, an accurate payment figure is required. If you are not certain, check your bank statement.

Savings over

Select a number of years to see how much money you can save with different home loans over time.

e.g. To see how much you could save in two years by switching mortgages,  set the slider to 2.

How can I get a home loan with no deposit?

Following the Global Financial Crisis, no-deposit loans, as they once used to be known, have largely been removed from the market. Now, if you wish to enter the market with no deposit, you will require a property of your own to secure a loan against or the assistance of a guarantor.

What is equity and home equity?

The percentage of a property effectively ‘owned’ by the borrower, equity is calculated by subtracting the amount currently owing on a mortgage from the property’s current value. As you pay back your mortgage’s principal, your home equity increases. Equity can be affected by changes in market value or improvements to your property.

What are the pros and cons of no-deposit home loans?

It’s no longer possible to get a no-deposit home loan in Australia. In some circumstances, you might be able to take out a mortgage with a 5 per cent deposit – but before you do so, it’s important to weigh up the pros and cons.

The big advantage of borrowing 95 per cent (also known as a 95 per cent home loan) is that you get to buy your property sooner. That may be particularly important if you plan to purchase in a rising market, where prices are increasing faster than you can accumulate savings.

But 95 per cent home loans also have disadvantages. First, the 95 per cent home loan market is relatively small, so you’ll have fewer options to choose from. Second, you’ll probably have to pay LMI (lender’s mortgage insurance). Third, you’ll probably be charged a higher interest rate. Fourth, the more you borrow, the more you’ll ultimately have to pay in interest. Fifth, if your property declines in value, your mortgage might end up being worth more than your home.

What does pre-approval' mean?

Pre-approval for a home loan is an agreement between you and your lender that, subject to certain conditions, you will be able to borrow a set amount when you find the property you want to buy. This approach is useful if you are in the early stages of surveying the property market and need to know how much money you can spend to help guide your search.

It is also useful when you are heading into an auction and want to be able to bid with confidence. Once you have found the property you want to buy you will need to receive formal approval from your bank.

What is appreciation or depreciation of property?

The increase or decrease in the value of a property due to factors including inflation, demand and political stability.

What is a line of credit?

A line of credit, also known as a home equity loan, is a type of mortgage that allows you to borrow money using the equity in your property.

Equity is the value of your property, less any outstanding debt against it. For example, if you have a $500,000 property and a $300,000 mortgage against the property, then you have $200,000 equity. This is the portion of the property that you actually own.

This type of loan is a flexible mortgage that allows you to draw on funds when you need them, similar to a credit card.

How much can I borrow with a guaranteed home loan?

Some lenders will allow you to borrow 100 per cent of the value of the property with a guaranteed home loan. For that to happen, the lender would have to feel confident in your ability to pay off the mortgage and in the security provided by your guarantor.

How much is the first home buyer's grant?

The first home buyer grant amount will vary depending on what state you’re in and the value of the property that you are purchasing. In general, they start around $10,000 but it is advisable to check your eligibility for the grant as well as how much you are entitled to with your state or territory’s revenue office.

What is bridging finance?

A loan of shorter duration taken to buy a new property before a borrower sells an existing property, usually taken to cover the financial gap that occurs while buying a new property without first selling an older one.

Usually, these loans have higher interest rates and a shorter repayment duration.