The beginning of the end? Drop in Sydney house price growth

The beginning of the end? Drop in Sydney house price growth

As the saying goes, what goes up must come down, and for the first time since 2012 Sydney has experienced a record drop in the median house price, signalling an end to three and a half years of growth.

Despite the first drop in the market since mid-2012, house prices in Sydney overall increased by 14.8 per cent in 2015 the Domain House Price Report has shown.

“The remarkable Sydney boom we’ve seen over the last three years is now clearly over, with the market unlikely to record any notable house prices growth until at least spring. While the median house price still remains above $1 million (at $1,013,258), if current trends continue it will likely fall below this benchmark by mid-year,” said Domain Senior Economist, Dr Andrew Wilson. 

Sydney median house prices fell by a dramatic 3.1 per cent over the December quarter and the median unit prices also fell, dropping by 2.8 per cent to $655,845.

Melbourne and Canberra have emerged as the new growth leaders with both cities recording their highest growth since 2009. The Melbourne median house price increased by 1.8 per cent over the December quarter and Melbourne unit prices increased by 1.3 per cent.

Property owners in the nation’s capital would be pleased with the growth figures for median house prices while the median unit price fell by 2.2 per cent presumably due to the increase in new apartment construction that has pushed supply ahead of demand over the past year.  

Related links

“A really good story in Canberra this quarter, with the local market continuing to rise after a subdued period of buyer activity. Canberra’s house price growth of 9.0 per cent over the year is behind only that of the Sydney and Melbourne markets and is the best local annual result since 2009,” said Dr Wilson. 

Similarly, Adelaide, Hobart and Brisbane also recorded strong growth figures with their results attributed to improving local economies and restored market confidence across the nation.

“Even though Sydney, the traditional leader of the pack, has fallen behind in growth rates, the rest of the nation has seen some really strong figures over the last quarter. Home owners in some of our smaller cities such as Adelaide and Brisbane would have plenty to be pleased about and things in Hobart seemed to have picked up significantly with the city recording the highest annual result since 2009,” said Sally Tindall, Money Editor at RateCity.  

It was a different story in Perth and Darwin this quarter with both cities continuing to feel the impact of the end of the mining boom and experiencing price drops. While Dr Wilson sites an oversupply of apartments in Darwin as an ongoing issue things are looking up for Perth this quarter with early signs suggesting that the rate of decline is moderating, as affordability improves and confidence recovers.

“Perth is a city to watch over the next quarter. Even though there has been sharp declines since the quieting of the resources boom the report suggests the decline may be curbing and eventual growth could be in sight,” said Tindall.  

Related links

Did you find this helpful? Why not share this news?

Advertisement

RateCity

Money Health Newsletter

Subscribe for news, tips and expert opinions to help you make smarter financial decisions

By signing up, you agree to the ratecity.com.au Privacy & Cookies Policy and Terms of Use, Disclaimer & Privacy Policy

Advertisement

Learn more about home loans

What is the flexibility score?

Today’s home loans often try to lure borrowers with a range of flexible features, including offset accounts, redraw facilities, repayment frequency options, repayment holidays, split loan options and portability. Real Time Ratings™ weights each of these features based on popularity and gives loans a ‘flexibility score’ based on how much they cater to borrowers’ needs over time. The aim is to give a higher score to loans which give borrowers more features and options.

How much are repayments on a $250K mortgage?

The exact repayment amount for a $250,000 mortgage will be determined by several factors including your deposit size, interest rate and the type of loan. It is best to use a mortgage calculator to determine your actual repayment size.

For example, the monthly repayments on a $250,000 loan with a 5 per cent interest rate over 30 years will be $1342. For a loan of $300,000 on the same rate and loan term, the monthly repayments will be $1610 and for a $500,000 loan, the monthly repayments will be $2684.

What do mortgage brokers do?

Mortgage brokers are finance professionals who help borrowers organise home loans with lenders. As such, they act as middlemen between borrowers and lenders.

While bank staff recommend home loan products only from their own employer, brokers are independent, so they can recommend products from a range of institutions.

Brokers need to be accredited with a particular lender to be able to work with that lender. A typical broker will be accredited with anywhere from 10 to 30 lenders – the big four banks, as well as a range of smaller banks, credit unions and non-bank lenders.

As a general rule, brokers don’t charge consumers for their services; instead, they receive commissions from lenders whenever they place a borrower with that institution.

Mortgage Calculator, Property Value

An estimate of how much your desired property is worth. 

What is the average annual percentage rate?

Also known as the comparison rate, or sometimes the ‘true rate’ of a loan, the average annual percentage rate (AAPR) is used to indicate the overall cost of a loan after considering all the fees, charges and other factors, such as introductory offers and honeymoon rates.

The AAPR is calculated based on a standardised loan amount and loan term, and doesn’t include any extra non-standard charges.

How personalised is my rating?

Real Time Ratings produces instant scores for loan products and updates them based what you tell us about what you’re looking for in a loan. In that sense, we believe the ratings are as close as you get to personalised; the more you tell us, the more we customise to ratings to your needs. Some borrowers value flexibility, while others want the lowest cost loan. Your preferences will be reflected in the rating. 

We also take a shorter term, more realistic view of how long borrowers hold onto their loan, which gives you a better idea about the true borrowing costs. We take your loan details and calculate how much each of the relevent loans would cost you on average each month over the next five years. We assess the overall flexibility of each loan and give you an easy indication of which ones are likely to adjust to your needs over time. 

Mortgage Balance

The amount you currently owe your mortgage lender. If you are not sure, enter your best estimate.

How much information is required to get a rating?

You don’t need to input any information to see the default ratings. But the more you tell us, the more relevant the ratings will become to you. We take your personal privacy seriously. If you are concerned about inputting your information, please read our privacy policy.

Monthly Repayment

Your current monthly home loan repayment. To accurately calculate how much you could save, an accurate payment figure is required. If you are not certain, check your bank statement.

What is the amortisation period?

Popularly known as the loan term, the amortisation period is the time over which the borrower must pay back both the loan’s principal and interest. It is usually determined during the application approval process.

Mortgage Calculator, Repayment Type

Will you pay off the amount you borrowed + interest or just the interest for a period?

Who offers 40 year mortgages?

Home loans spanning 40 years are offered by select lenders, though the loan period is much longer than a standard 30-year home loan. You're more likely to find a maximum of 35 years, such as is the case with Teacher’s Mutual Bank

Currently, 40 year home loan lenders in Australia include AlphaBeta Money, BCU, G&C Mutual Bank, Pepper, and Sydney Mutual Bank.

Even though these lengthier loans 35 to 40 year loans do exist on the market, they are not overwhelmingly popular, as the extra interest you pay compared to a 30-year loan can be over $100,000 or more.

Remaining loan term

The length of time it will take to pay off your current home loan, based on the currently-entered mortgage balance, monthly repayment and interest rate.

Mortgage Calculator, Loan Term

How long you wish to take to pay off your loan.